Step 1: Understanding the relationship in the decay series.
At secular equilibrium, the activities (rate of decay) of parent and daughter isotopes are equal. The activity of a radioactive isotope is proportional to the number of atoms and its decay constant (\(\lambda\)). Therefore, at secular equilibrium: \[ {Activity of } 238U = {Activity of } 230Th = {Activity of } 226Ra \] At equilibrium, the number of atoms of the daughter isotopes can be related to the number of atoms of the parent isotope using the ratio of their decay constants.
Step 2: Decay constants and activity relations.
The decay constant \(\lambda\) is related to the half-life (\(t_{1/2}\)) by the equation: \[ \lambda = \frac{\ln 2}{t_{1/2}} \] For each isotope: \[ \lambda_{238U} = \frac{\ln 2}{4.47 \times 10^9 \, {years}} \approx 1.55 \times 10^{-10} \, {years}^{-1} \] \[ \lambda_{230Th} = \frac{\ln 2}{75,000 \, {years}} \approx 9.24 \times 10^{-6} \, {years}^{-1} \] \[ \lambda_{226Ra} = \frac{\ln 2}{1600 \, {years}} \approx 4.35 \times 10^{-4} \, {years}^{-1} \] Step 3: Relating the number of atoms of 226Ra to 238U.
Since the activities are equal at equilibrium, the number of atoms of 226Ra (\(N_{226Ra}\)) can be calculated using the ratio of the decay constants: \[ \frac{N_{226Ra}}{N_{238U}} = \frac{\lambda_{238U}}{\lambda_{226Ra}} \] Given that the number of atoms of 238U is 10 billion (i.e., \(N_{238U} = 10 \times 10^9\)), we can substitute the decay constants into the equation: \[ \frac{N_{226Ra}}{10 \times 10^9} = \frac{1.55 \times 10^{-10}}{4.35 \times 10^{-4}} \] \[ N_{226Ra} = 10 \times 10^9 \times \frac{1.55 \times 10^{-10}}{4.35 \times 10^{-4}} \approx 3.5 \times 10^3 \] Therefore, the number of atoms of 226Ra present at equilibrium is approximately 3500 atoms.
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The mean of the posterior distribution is (Answer in integer)
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