Ancient Indian sages such as Parāśara and Varāhamihira developed sophisticated methods to forecast rainfall—vital for agriculture in a monsoon-dependent society.
Their techniques relied on a blend of:
Astronomy: Monitoring planetary conjunctions, especially of Jupiter and Venus, and lunar phases.
Meteorological observation: Direction and color of winds, cloud patterns, thunder, and lightning signs.
Phenology (natural indicators): Behaviors of birds and animals, blooming of specific plants, and atmospheric changes.
Time cycles: Use of nakṣatras (lunar mansions) and tithis (lunar days) to determine rainfall periods.
For example, Varāhamihira’s \textit{Bṛhatsaṃhitā} discusses omens and celestial phenomena associated with rain prediction. These ancient models demonstrate a close observation of nature, refined over generations, and tailored to practical agrarian needs.