Consider a permutation sampled uniformly at random from the set of all permutations of \( \{1, 2, 3, \dots, n\} \) for some \( n \geq 4 \). Let \( X \) be the event that 1 occurs before 2 in the permutation, and \( Y \) the event that 3 occurs before 4. Which one of the following statements is TRUE?