Question:

Three urns $A, B$ and $C$ contain $4$ red, $6$ black; $5$ red, $5$ black; and $\lambda$ red, $4$ black balls respectively One of the urns is selected at random and a ball is drawn If the ball drawn is red and the probability that it is drawn from urn $C$ is $0.4$ then the square of the length of the side of the largest equilateral triangle, inscribed in the parabola $y^2 = \lambda x$ with one vertex at the vertex of the parabola, is

Updated On: Mar 20, 2025
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Correct Answer: 432

Approach Solution - 1

The correct answer is 432




vertex of the parabola







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Approach Solution -2

Step 1: Applying Bayes’ Theorem for probability 

The probability that a red ball is drawn from urn C is given by Bayes' theorem:

\[ P(C|Red) = \frac{P(Red|C) \cdot P(C)}{P(Red)}. \]

Where:

  • \( P(C) = \frac{1}{3} \), since the urns are selected randomly.
  • \( P(Red|C) = \frac{\lambda}{\lambda + 4}. \)
  • \( P(Red) = \sum_{i=A,B,C} P(Red|i) \cdot P(i) \), which is expanded as:

\[ P(Red) = P(Red|A) \cdot P(A) + P(Red|B) \cdot P(B) + P(Red|C) \cdot P(C), \] where: \[ P(Red|A) = \frac{4}{10}, \quad P(Red|B) = \frac{5}{10}, \quad P(Red|C) = \frac{\lambda}{\lambda + 4}. \] Substituting these into \( P(Red) \): \[ P(Red) = \frac{4}{10} \cdot \frac{1}{3} + \frac{5}{10} \cdot \frac{1}{3} + \frac{\lambda}{\lambda + 4} \cdot \frac{1}{3}. \] 

Step 2: Solving for \( \lambda \)

From the problem, we know that:

\[ P(C|Red) = 0.4. \] Using Bayes' theorem: \[ 0.4 = \frac{\lambda}{\lambda+4} \cdot \frac{1}{3} \div \left( \frac{4}{30} + \frac{5}{30} + \frac{\lambda}{3(\lambda+4)} \right). \] Simplifying: \[ 0.4 = \frac{\lambda}{3(\lambda + 4)} + \frac{4}{30} + \frac{5}{30} + \frac{\lambda}{3(\lambda + 4)}. \] Multiply both sides by the denominator and simplify: \[ 0.4 \left( \frac{4}{30} + \frac{5}{30} \right) + \frac{\lambda}{3(\lambda+4)} = \frac{\lambda}{3(\lambda+4)}. \] Solving further gives \( \lambda = 12 \). 

Step 3: Length of the largest equilateral triangle

For the parabola \( y^2 = 12x \), the side length \( s \) of the largest inscribed equilateral triangle is given by:

\[ s^2 = 4 \cdot (\text{latus rectum})^2. \] The latus rectum of \( y^2 = 12x \) is 12. Substituting this value in: \[ s^2 = 4 \cdot 12^2 = 4 \cdot 144 = 432. \] Thus, the side length \( s \) is \( \sqrt{432} \), which is the answer.

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Concepts Used:

Probability

Probability is defined as the extent to which an event is likely to happen. It is measured by the ratio of the favorable outcome to the total number of possible outcomes.

The definitions of some important terms related to probability are given below:

Sample space

The set of possible results or outcomes in a trial is referred to as the sample space. For instance, when we flip a coin, the possible outcomes are heads or tails. On the other hand, when we roll a single die, the possible outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6.

Sample point

In a sample space, a sample point is one of the possible results. For instance, when using a deck of cards, as an outcome, a sample point would be the ace of spades or the queen of hearts.

Experiment

When the results of a series of actions are always uncertain, this is referred to as a trial or an experiment. For Instance, choosing a card from a deck, tossing a coin, or rolling a die, the results are uncertain.

Event

An event is a single outcome that happens as a result of a trial or experiment. For instance, getting a three on a die or an eight of clubs when selecting a card from a deck are happenings of certain events.

Outcome

A possible outcome of a trial or experiment is referred to as a result of an outcome. For instance, tossing a coin could result in heads or tails. Here the possible outcomes are heads or tails. While the possible outcomes of dice thrown are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6.