Question:

If \( E \) and \( F \) are two events such that \( P(E)>0 \) and \( P(F) \neq 1 \), then \( P(E \,|\, F) \) is:

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To solve conditional probability problems, you may need to use the inclusion-exclusion principle and properties of complements to express the probability in different terms.
  • \( \frac{P(\bar{E})}{P(\bar{F})} \)
  • \( 1 - P(\bar{E} \,|\, F) \)
  • \( 1 - P(E \,|\, F) \)
  • \( \frac{1 - P(E \cup F)}{P(\bar{F})} \)
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The Correct Option is D

Solution and Explanation

The formula for conditional probability is given by: \[ P(E \,|\, F) = \frac{P(E \cap F)}{P(F)}. \] We are asked to find the expression for \( P(E \,|\, F) \) in terms of other probabilities. Using the inclusion-exclusion principle, we know: \[ P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) - P(E \cap F) \] So, we can rearrange this to express \( P(E \cap F) \) as: \[ P(E \cap F) = P(E \cup F) - P(F). \] Substituting this into the formula for conditional probability: \[ P(E \,|\, F) = \frac{P(E \cup F) - P(F)}{P(F)}. \] Now, consider the complement of \( F \), i.e., \( P(\bar{F}) \), and the formula for the conditional probability of the complement of \( E \), \( P(\bar{E} \,|\, F) \). We obtain the final expression for \( P(E \,|\, F) \) in terms of other events: \[ P(E \,|\, F) = \frac{1 - P(E \cup F)}{P(\bar{F})}. \] Thus, the correct answer is option (4).
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