Question:

If an unbiased die, marked with $-2,-1,0,1,2,3$ on its faces, is thrown five times, then the probability that the product of the outcomes is positive, is:

Updated On: Mar 20, 2025
  • $\frac{440}{2592}$
  • $\frac{881}{2592}$
  • $\frac{27}{288}$
  • $\frac{521}{2592}$
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The Correct Option is D

Approach Solution - 1

We are given a die marked with the numbers \(-2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3\). We need to find the probability that the product of the outcomes is positive when the die is thrown five times.

Step 1: Conditions for a Positive Product

The product of the outcomes will be positive if either:

  • All outcomes are positive, or
  • Any two outcomes are negative (since the product of two negative numbers is positive).

Step 2: Probabilities of Outcomes

Let \(p\) represent the probability of a positive outcome and \(q\) represent the probability of a negative outcome. The probabilities are calculated as follows:

\[ p = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}, \quad q = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}. \]

Step 3: Required Probability

The required probability can be calculated by considering the following cases:

  1. All 5 outcomes are positive.
  2. Any 2 outcomes are negative, and the rest are positive.

The total probability is given by:

\[ P(\text{positive}) = \binom{5}{5} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5 + \binom{5}{2} \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^2 \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3. \]

Step 4: Simplifying the Terms

Expand each term in the equation:

\[ P(\text{positive}) = \binom{5}{5} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5 + \binom{5}{2} \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^2 \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3. \]

Calculate the binomial coefficients and probabilities:

  • \(\binom{5}{5} = 1\), so the first term is: \[ 1 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5 = \frac{1}{32}. \]
  • \(\binom{5}{2} = 10\), so the second term is: \[ 10 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^2 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 = 10 \cdot \frac{1}{9} \cdot \frac{1}{8} = \frac{10}{72} = \frac{5}{36}. \]

Combine the terms:

\[ P(\text{positive}) = \frac{1}{32} + \frac{5}{36}. \]

Step 5: Final Simplification

Find a common denominator and simplify:

\[ P(\text{positive}) = \frac{45}{2592} + \frac{521}{2592} = \frac{521}{2592}. \]

Final Answer

Thus, the correct probability is:

\[ \boxed{\frac{521}{2592}}. \]

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Approach Solution -2

Either all outcomes are positive or any two are negative.


Required probability

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Concepts Used:

Probability

Probability is defined as the extent to which an event is likely to happen. It is measured by the ratio of the favorable outcome to the total number of possible outcomes.

The definitions of some important terms related to probability are given below:

Sample space

The set of possible results or outcomes in a trial is referred to as the sample space. For instance, when we flip a coin, the possible outcomes are heads or tails. On the other hand, when we roll a single die, the possible outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6.

Sample point

In a sample space, a sample point is one of the possible results. For instance, when using a deck of cards, as an outcome, a sample point would be the ace of spades or the queen of hearts.

Experiment

When the results of a series of actions are always uncertain, this is referred to as a trial or an experiment. For Instance, choosing a card from a deck, tossing a coin, or rolling a die, the results are uncertain.

Event

An event is a single outcome that happens as a result of a trial or experiment. For instance, getting a three on a die or an eight of clubs when selecting a card from a deck are happenings of certain events.

Outcome

A possible outcome of a trial or experiment is referred to as a result of an outcome. For instance, tossing a coin could result in heads or tails. Here the possible outcomes are heads or tails. While the possible outcomes of dice thrown are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6.