Question:

A person P speaks truth in 75% cases and another person R in 80% cases. Then the probability that they likely to contradict each other in narrating the same event is

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Two people contradict each other if one tells the truth and the other tells a lie.
P(A contradicts B) = P(A true, B false) + P(A false, B true).
If A and B are independent, P(A true, B false) = P(A true) * P(B false).
Updated On: May 26, 2025
  • \( \frac{7}{20} \)
  • \( \frac{7}{10} \)
  • 0.2
  • 0.3
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The Correct Option is A

Solution and Explanation

Let P be the event that person P speaks the truth. \(P(P) = 75% = 0.75 = 3/4\). Let P' be the event that person P lies. \(P(P') = 1 - 0.75 = 0.25 = 1/4\). Let R be the event that person R speaks the truth. \(P(R) = 80% = 0.80 = 4/5\). Let R' be the event that person R lies. \(P(R') = 1 - 0.80 = 0.20 = 1/5\). They contradict each other if one speaks the truth and the other lies. There are two mutually exclusive cases for contradiction: Case 1: P speaks truth AND R lies. Probability = \(P(P \cap R')\). Case 2: P lies AND R speaks truth. Probability = \(P(P' \cap R)\). Assuming their statements are independent: \(P(P \cap R') = P(P) \times P(R') = (3/4) \times (1/5) = 3/20\). \(P(P' \cap R) = P(P') \times P(R) = (1/4) \times (4/5) = 4/20\). The probability that they contradict each other is the sum of probabilities of these two cases: \(P(\text{contradict}) = P(P \cap R') + P(P' \cap R) = 3/20 + 4/20 = 7/20\). As a decimal, \(7/20 = 35/100 = 0.35\). Option (a) is \(7/20\). Option (c) 0.2 = 4/20. Option (d) 0.3 = 6/20. So, the answer is \(7/20\). \[ \boxed{\frac{7}{20}} \]
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