Step 1: Understanding the Concept:
A Type II error occurs when we fail to reject the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) when the alternative hypothesis (\(H_1\)) is actually true. The probability of a Type II error is denoted by \(\beta\).
Step 2: Key Formula or Approach:
\(\beta = P(\text{Fail to Reject } H_0 | H_1 \text{ is true})\).
The critical (rejection) region is given as \(x \ge 1\). Therefore, the acceptance (fail to reject) region is its complement, which is \(x<1\).
We need to calculate \(P(X<1)\) under the assumption that \(H_1\) is true, i.e., \(\theta = 1\).
Step 3: Detailed Explanation:
The population distribution is an exponential distribution with rate parameter \(\theta\).
Under the alternative hypothesis, \(H_1: \theta = 1\). The probability density function (PDF) is:
\[ f(x; 1) = 1 . e^{-x . 1} = e^{-x}, \quad x>0 \]
The probability of a Type II error, \(\beta\), is the probability of the observation falling into the acceptance region \(x<1\), given that \(\theta=1\).
\[ \beta = P(X<1 | \theta=1) \]
We calculate this by integrating the PDF under \(H_1\) over the acceptance region:
\[ \beta = \int_{0}^{1} e^{-x} \,dx \]
\[ = [-e^{-x}]_{0}^{1} \]
\[ = (-e^{-1}) - (-e^{-0}) = -e^{-1} - (-1) = 1 - e^{-1} \]
This can be written as:
\[ \beta = 1 - \frac{1}{e} = \frac{e-1}{e} \]
Step 4: Final Answer:
The size of Type II error is \( \frac{e-1}{e} \).