Question:

A vaccine trial reports a 60% reduction in disease incidence in the trial population. Which is the safest inference?

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For scientific inference questions, generalize cautiously; trial results apply reliably only to similar populations under similar conditions.
  • The vaccine is effective in similar populations under similar conditions.
  • The vaccine eliminates the disease everywhere.
  • No further studies are needed.
  • Effectiveness is identical across all age groups.
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The Correct Option is A

Solution and Explanation

Step 1: Understand the claim — A trial shows a 60% reduction in disease incidence.
Step 2: Safest inference — The result can be generalized only to similar populations and conditions, not universally.
Step 3: Evaluate options — (b), (c), (d) overgeneralize or ignore need for further studies.
Step 4: Conclusion — Option (a) is correct.
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