To determine the minimum number of times a fair coin needs to be tossed such that the probability of getting at least two heads is at least 0.96, we can use the concept of complementary probability. Start by calculating the probability of getting fewer than two heads and subtract that from 1.
Let n be the number of tosses. The probability of getting 0 or 1 head can be found by using the binomial probability formula:
P(X=k)=C(n,k)×p^k×(1-p)^(n-k), where p=0.5 for a fair coin.
1. Calculate the probability for 0 heads: P(X=0)=C(n,0)×0.5^0×0.5^n=0.5^n.
2. Calculate the probability for 1 head: P(X=1)=C(n,1)×0.5^1×0.5^(n-1)=n×0.5^n.
3. Sum these probabilities: P(fewer than 2 heads)=0.5^n+n×0.5^n.
4. We require that the probability for at least 2 heads satisfies: P(at least 2 heads)≥0.96.
Thus, 1-(0.5^n+n×0.5^n)≥0.96.
Solving: 0.5^n+n×0.5^n≤0.04 or (n+1)×0.5^n≤0.04.
Check values of n:
- n=5: (5+1)×0.5^5=6×0.03125=0.1875 (Not ≤0.04)
- n=6: (6+1)×0.5^6=7×0.015625=0.109375 (Not ≤0.04)
- n=7: (7+1)×0.5^7=8×0.0078125=0.0625 (Not ≤0.04)
- n=8: (8+1)×0.5^8=9×0.00390625=0.03515625 (≤0.04, satisfies the condition)
Hence, the minimum number of tosses required is 8.