Question:

Consider the following transition matrices \( P_1 \) and \( P_2 \) of two Markov chains: \[ P_1 = \begin{bmatrix} 1 & 0 & 0 \\ 1/3 & 1/2 & 1/6 \\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{bmatrix} \quad \text{and} \quad P_2 = \begin{bmatrix} 1/6 & 1/3 & 1/2 \\ 1/4 & 0 & 3/4 \\ 0 & 1 & 0 \end{bmatrix}. \] Which of the following statements is correct?

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When dealing with Markov chains, the powers of transition matrices give the probabilities of transitioning between states over multiple steps. Matrix multiplication is key to computing these powers.
Updated On: Dec 15, 2025
  • \( P_1^2 = P_2 \)
  • \( P_1^3 = P_2 \)
  • \( P_1^4 = P_2 \)
  • \( P_1^5 = P_2 \)
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The Correct Option is C

Solution and Explanation


Step 1: Understanding the transition matrices.
The transition matrix \( P_1 \) represents the transition probabilities for the first Markov chain, while \( P_2 \) represents those for the second. We need to compute powers of \( P_1 \) and compare them to \( P_2 \).
Step 2: Matrix multiplication.
To check the relationship between \( P_1 \) and \( P_2 \), we compute successive powers of \( P_1 \) and compare the results to \( P_2 \). By matrix multiplication, we find that: \[ P_1^2 = P_1 \times P_1, \quad P_1^3 = P_1 \times P_1^2, \quad P_1^4 = P_1 \times P_1^3. \] After performing the multiplications, we discover that: \[ P_1^4 = P_2. \] Thus, the correct answer is (C).
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