An instructor has a test bank consisting of 300 easy True/False questions, 200 difficult True/False questions, 500 easy multiple choice questions and 400 difficult multiple choice questions.If a question is selected at random from the test bank, what is the probability that it will be an easy question given that it is a multiple choice question?
Number of easy True/False questions = 300
Number of difficult True/False questions = 200
Number of easy multiple choice questions = 500
Number of difficult multiple choice questions = 400
Total number of all such questions = n(S) = 1400
Let,
E represents an easy question and F represents a multiple choice question.
\(∴n(E) = 300+500 = 800\)
And \(n(F) = 500+400 = 900\)
\(P(F)=\frac {n(F)}{n(S)}\)
\(P(F) =\frac {900}{1400}\)
\(n(E∩F)=500\)
⇒\(P(E∩F)=\frac {n(E∩F)}{n(S)}\)
\(P(E∩F) =\frac {500}{1400}\)
\(P(E|F)=\frac {P(E∩F)}{P(F)}\)
\(P(E|F)=\frac {500/1400}{900/1400}\)
\(P(E|F)=\frac {500}{900}\)
\(P(E|F)=\frac {5}{9}\)
A shop selling electronic items sells smartphones of only three reputed companies A, B, and C because chances of their manufacturing a defective smartphone are only 5%, 4%, and 2% respectively. In his inventory, he has 25% smartphones from company A, 35% smartphones from company B, and 40% smartphones from company C.
A person buys a smartphone from this shop
A shop selling electronic items sells smartphones of only three reputed companies A, B, and C because chances of their manufacturing a defective smartphone are only 5%, 4%, and 2% respectively. In his inventory, he has 25% smartphones from company A, 35% smartphones from company B, and 40% smartphones from company C.
A person buys a smartphone from this shop
(i) Find the probability that it was defective.
A compound (A) with molecular formula $C_4H_9I$ which is a primary alkyl halide, reacts with alcoholic KOH to give compound (B). Compound (B) reacts with HI to give (C) which is an isomer of (A). When (A) reacts with Na metal in the presence of dry ether, it gives a compound (D), C8H18, which is different from the compound formed when n-butyl iodide reacts with sodium. Write the structures of A, (B), (C) and (D) when (A) reacts with alcoholic KOH.
Conditional Probability is defined as the occurrence of any event which determines the probability of happening of the other events. Let us imagine a situation, a company allows two days’ holidays in a week apart from Sunday. If Saturday is considered as a holiday, then what would be the probability of Tuesday being considered a holiday as well? To find this out, we use the term Conditional Probability.
P(S | B) = P(B | B) = 1.
Proof of the same: P(S | B) = P(S ∩ B) ⁄ P(B) = P(B) ⁄ P(B) = 1.
[S ∩ B indicates the outcomes common in S and B equals the outcomes in B].
P(B | A), P(A) >0 or, P(A ∩ B) = P(B).P(A | B), P(B) > 0.
This theorem is named as the Multiplication Theorem of Probability.
Proof of the same: As we all know that P(B | A) = P(B ∩ A) / P(A), P(A) ≠ 0.
We can also say that P(B|A) = P(A ∩ B) ⁄ P(A) (as A ∩ B = B ∩ A).
So, P(A ∩ B) = P(A). P(B | A).
Similarly, P(A ∩ B) = P(B). P(A | B).
The interesting information regarding the Multiplication Theorem is that it can further be extended to more than two events and not just limited to the two events. So, one can also use this theorem to find out the conditional probability in terms of A, B, or C.
Read More: Types of Sets
Sometimes students get confused between Conditional Probability and Joint Probability. It is essential to know the differences between the two.