We are given the following information:
- The probability of getting a COVID-19 infection for a vaccinated person is reduced from 0.4 to 0.1.
- 45% of people in the city are vaccinated.
- We need to find the probability that a non-vaccinated person, chosen at random, gets a COVID-19 infection.
Let:
- \(P(\text{Infection | Vaccinated}) = 0.1\)
- \(P(\text{Infection | Non-Vaccinated}) = 0.4\)
- The probability that a person is vaccinated is 45%, or \(P(\text{Vaccinated}) = 0.45\).
- The probability that a person is non-vaccinated is 55%, or \(P(\text{Non-Vaccinated}) = 0.55\).
We are asked to find the probability that a non-vaccinated person gets COVID-19. Since we are only concerned with non-vaccinated people, the answer is simply the probability of infection for non-vaccinated people:
\(P(\text{Infection | Non-Vaccinated}) = 0.4\)
The probability that a non-vaccinated person chosen at random in the city gets COVID-19 infection is 0.4.