Step 1: Understanding the Concept:
This problem requires calculating the probability of a specific outcome from multiple independent events (rolling an unfair die three times). The total number of possible outcomes is \(6 \times 6 \times 6 = 216\). We need to find the number of favorable outcomes where the sum of the numbers on the three rolls is 11 or more.
Step 2: Detailed Explanation:
The faces of the die are \{1, 1, 2, 2, 3, 5\}.
Let's list the combinations of three numbers from the set of possible outcomes \{1, 2, 3, 5\} that sum to 11 or more. Then, we'll count the number of ways each combination can occur.
Case 1: Sum \(\geq\) 11
We identify the multisets of three values (from \{1, 2, 3, 5\}) that meet the condition.
Sum = 15: \{5, 5, 5\}
Permutations: (5, 5, 5).
Number of faces: '5' appears on 1 face.
Number of outcomes = \(1 \times 1 \times 1 = 1\).
Sum = 13: \{5, 5, 3\}
Permutations: (5, 5, 3), (5, 3, 5), (3, 5, 5). There are \(\frac{3!}{2!} = 3\) permutations.
Number of faces: '5' on 1 face, '3' on 1 face.
Number of outcomes for each permutation = \(1 \times 1 \times 1 = 1\).
Total outcomes = \(3 \times 1 = 3\).
Sum = 12: \{5, 5, 2\}
Permutations: (5, 5, 2), (5, 2, 5), (2, 5, 5). There are 3 permutations.
Number of faces: '5' on 1 face, '2' on 2 faces.
Number of outcomes for permutation (5,5,2) is \(1 \times 1 \times 2 = 2\).
Total outcomes = \(3 \times 2 = 6\).
Sum = 11:
Combination \{5, 5, 1\}
Permutations: (5, 5, 1), (5, 1, 5), (1, 5, 5). There are 3 permutations.
Number of faces: '5' on 1 face, '1' on 2 faces.
Number of outcomes for permutation (5,5,1) is \(1 \times 1 \times 2 = 2\).
Total outcomes = \(3 \times 2 = 6\).
Combination \{5, 3, 3\}
Permutations: (5, 3, 3), (3, 5, 3), (3, 3, 5). There are 3 permutations.
Number of faces: '5' on 1 face, '3' on 1 face.
Number of outcomes for each permutation = \(1 \times 1 \times 1 = 1\).
Total outcomes = \(3 \times 1 = 3\).
Step 3: Final Answer:
Total number of favorable outcomes = (outcomes for sum 15) + (outcomes for sum 13) + (outcomes for sum 12) + (outcomes for sum 11)
Total favorable outcomes = \(1 + 3 + 6 + (6 + 3) = 19\).
Total possible outcomes = \(6^3 = 216\).
Probability = \( \frac{\text{Favorable Outcomes}}{\text{Total Outcomes}} = \frac{19}{216} \).